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We utilize statistical methods, artificial intelligence, and behavioral science to enhance our trading and investment strategies. We don't try to predict where a specific stock's price or the market should be. Instead, we often predict people's reactions and then make our trade entry and exit decisions. We concluded our initial research in April, 2024 and began trading on May 10, 2024. The machines don't do it all - yet. And, no, we don't use any leverage. Our average holding period is about three days. The shortest was two minutes, and the longest has been two weeks. Click here if you have some ideas you would like to share. |
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| Month | AUM May2024 = 1.00 |
Quain Monthly Returns |
Quain Cumulative Return |
S&P 500 Cumulative Return |
Comments | Average Daily Correlation with the S&P500 |
Average End of Day Investment Exposure |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2024 (Started May 10) |
1.00 | -1.9% | -1.9% | 1.2% | A slow start, needed some tuning. So much for a perfect track record. | -0.11 | 78% |
| Jun 2024 |
1.00 | 8.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | Reset the risk params and then had a string of winners. | 0.47 | 28% |
| Jul 2024 |
2.00 | 4.5% | 11.0% | 5.9% | Added some new stocks & ETFs. | 0.78 | 69% |
| Aug 2024 |
2.30 | 8.1% | 19.1% | 8.2% | Had strongest signal, big swing, but ended well. Added some crypto ETFs. | 0.75 | 54% |
| Sep 2024 |
3.00 | 6.6% | 25.7% | 10.3% | Belief market would be steady until Powell spoke. Should have been more cautious in last half of month. | 0.74 | 77% |
| Oct 2024 | 3.50 | 7.4% | 33.1% | 9.4% | Didn't do much active trading until the last few days of the month, but things moved quickly. | 0.21 | 93% |
| Nov 2024 |
3.50 | 1.5% | 34.6% | 15.2% | Some bigger early month wins, and then thought I was smarter than the machine and gave half back. | -0.18 | 50% |
| Dec 2024 |
4.00 | -3.4% | 31.2% | 9.7% | Need about ten days of quant work. Losses were in the last week, hoping for a reversal in Jan. | 0.44 | 80% |
| 2024 YTD | 31.2% | 9.7% | More than 3x the S&P, with some correlation. Not a bad start ... | 0.44 | 73% |
| Month | AUM May2024 = 1.00 |
Quain Monthly Returns |
Quain Cumulative Return since Inception |
S&P 500 Cumulative Return since Inception |
Comments | Average Daily Correlation with the S&P500 |
Average End of Day Investment Exposure |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2025 | 4.25 | 8.9% | 40.1% | 12.8% | Some predictable reactions to unexpected events. Reversed the Dec losses. | 0.47 | 68% |
| Feb 2025 | 4.50 | 0.3% | 40.4% | 14.1% | Last few weeks were down ... updating models soon. | 0.45 | 95% |
| Mar 2025 | 4.75 | 3.3% | 43.7% | 8.4% | Feb's strategies kicked into gear in first few days of March. | 0.38 | 50% |
| Apr 2025 (as of Apr 25) | 4.75 | 2.3% | 46.0% | 6.8% | Up and Down, Up and down ... all cash at end of month. Waiting ... | 0.40 | 95% |
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The information provided on this website is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be, nor should it be considered, financial or investment advice. The content is based on historical data and does not guarantee future results. All investments carry risk, and it is advised that you seek the counsel of a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The website owner is not responsible for any losses or damages resulting from the use of the information provided. |
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